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和文:複数の将来気候シナリオと社会経済シナリオを入力した統合評価モデルFUNDの水分野影響関数による経済被害推計値の特性分析 
英文:Analysis of economic impacts projected by FUND's impact functions for water sectors using multiple climate scenarios and socio-economic scenarios 
著者
和文: 井芹慶彦, 宮崎千尋, コウロ, 吉川沙耶花, 鼎信次郎.  
英文: Yoshihiko Iseri, Chihiro MIYAZAKI, Lu Gao, Sayaka Yoshikawa, Shinjiro Kanae.  
言語 English 
掲載誌/書名
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英文: 
巻, 号, ページ Vol. 72    No. 5    p. I213-I221
出版年月 2016年 
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公式リンク https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jscejer/72/5/72_I_213/_article/-char/ja/
 
DOI http://doi.org/10.2208/jscejer.72.I_213
アブストラクト This study employs the updated climate scenarios and socio-economic scenarios in order to evaluate uncertainties and characteristics of projected economic impacts using impact functions of FUND model, which is as integrated assessment model having detailed sector-specific impact functions. We, in particular, focused on impact functions for water sectors: water resources, tropical storm, and sea level rise. The result susggested damages in three sectors would keep increasing under Representative Concentratin Pathwas 8.5 scenario, regardless of socio-economic scenarios. In addition, comparions of damages among three socio-economics scenarios (i.e. Shared Socio-econoic Pathways (SSPs) 1-3) revealed damages in water sector and tropical storm follow SSP3 > SSP1 ≈ SSP2, while damages in sea level rise follows SSP3 > SSP1 > SSP2.

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